InRIS CFM Diversified
Cumulative Performance (%)
The performance data shown represents past performance. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance quoted. The investment return and the principal value of an investment will fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost.
Strategy & Manager
The objective of the InRIS CFM Diversified Fund (the “Fund”) is to achieve long-term capital appreciation through trading strategies that seek to have a return profile different from that of traditional asset classes, such as stocks and bonds.
Capital Fund Management (the Trading Advisor) is free to choose how the assets of the Fund are invested within the limits of its investment policy and will utilize (typically with equal allocation) a series of four systematic trading models (the Long- Term Trend Following, Universal Value, Risk Premia and Market Neutral Equity models), which are part of its CFM Institutional Systematic Diversified Program (the “Program”). The Fund will significantly invest in financial derivative instruments (“FDIs”) for investment, efficient portfolio management and hedging purposes at any one time.
The Trading Advisor will primarily trade to gain exposure to a diversified portfolio of global fixed income securities (including government bonds and notes), global interest rates, global currencies, global equities, global stock indices and global credit. For hedging purposes, the Fund may use FDIs to hedge against fluctuations in the relative values of its portfolio positions due to changes in currency exchange rates and market interest rates and to hedge against the currency exposure between the denominated currency of the Class and the Base Currency of the Fund.
Capital Fund Management, founded in 1991 is a leading systematic asset manager, both in terms of research & IT Engineering who are specialized in systematically implemented strategies based on a global and quantitative approach ($8.5bn in AuM).
Jean-Philippe Bouchaud – Chairman
Jean-Philippe is Chairman of CFM. He founded ‘Science and Finance’ in 1994, the research arm of CFM with Jean-Pierre Aguilar, which merged with CFM in 2000. He supervises the research team alongside Marc Potters. Jean-Philippe maintains strong links with the academic world and is a professor at École Normale Supérieure (ENS). Prior to CFM, Jean-Philippe was a researcher at the Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique until 1992. Following this he spent a year at the Cavendish Laboratory in Cambridge before joining the Service de Physique de l’État Condensé at the Commissariat à l’Energie Atomique in Saclay, France. He holds a PhD in theoretical physics from the ENS in Paris.
Marc Potters – Chief Investment Officer
Marc is the Chief Investment Officer of CFM, having joined the firm in 1995 originally as a researcher in quantitative finance. He oversees the investment process of all CFM funds. Marc also supervises the research team together with Jean-Philippe, with a particular focus on developing concrete applications in financial forecasting, portfolio construction, risk control and execution. Marc maintains strong links with academia and is an expert in Random Matrix Theory. He has taught at UCLA and Sorbonne University and he continues to publish papers in statistical finance and co-authored the ‘Theory of Financial Risk and Derivative Pricing’ with Jean-Philippe. Marc obtained his PhD in physics from Princeton University.
Statistics & Commentary
The performance data shown represents past performance. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted. The investment return and the principal value of an investment will fluctuate so that an investor's shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost.
Sector Breakdown as a % of AUM
as a % of AUM
as a % of AUM
as a % of AUM
Trading Advisor's Commentaryas of
The performance of the InRIS CFM Diversified Class (I Euro Share Class) was +2.07% in December.
Systematic Global Macro:
The program realised positive returns.
Equities’ contribution was positive.
In the US, strong economic data from especially the services sector (the ISM Services Index came in at 56.5 vs. the 53.5 consensus forecast); labour market (nonfarm payrolls printed an increase of 263k jobs vs. the 200k expected); and higher than expected producer prices (PPI increased 0.3% MoM vs. the 0.2% prior print and expectation) painted a macro picture of a still robust expansion. With the Fed’s tightening cycle yet to show signs of taking a toll on economic activity, investors are betting on longer rates for longer – confirmed by a flurry of central banks having again raised rates (albeit at a slower pace), while maintaining a strong hawkish sentiment.
Against this backdrop, equity markets laboured lower – the S&P 500 Index lost 5.9% over the month and closed out the year 19.4% lower. The Nasdaq, meanwhile, closed 9.1% lower, and finished the year 33% lower. The strategy’s positioning in the US market offered some of the best returns in this asset class, especially exposure to the mini-S&P and mini- Russell contracts.
Chinese equities made moderate gains (Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 gained 3.3% in US dollar terms), this after the government relaxed a range of Covid measures. Weak import and export data, however, undercut the opening optimism and fanned concerns for global economic growth. Positioning in Chinese equity indices ended flat.
Eurozone equity markets ended broadly flat – the Stoxx 600 Index notching a 0.1% gain in US dollar terms. Economic data prints for the continent were mixed, with the latest retail sales slumping 1.8% MoM, while PMI data remained in contraction territory but printed in line with economists’ forecasts. Exposure to key European indices delivered positive returns on aggregate, with PnL from the benchmark Eurostoxx a standout.
Positioning in the S&P/TSX 60 was one of the very few contracts that registered negative returns. The energy-constituent heavy and strongly correlated to oil price Canadian benchmark closed 5.7% lower (in US dollar terms) – following global oil-and-related commodity prices lower.
Meanwhile, the program’s exposure to a selection of Asian and other emerging market contracts indices ended broadly flat.
Aggregate positioning in Credit Indices delivered negative PnL, with returns on most positions ending flat or worse except European investment grade.
Positioning in Bonds delivered negative PnL on aggregate.
Fixed income markets traded lower, the Bloomberg Global Agg TR Index (hedged) losing 1.2%.
While inflation in the US relaxed from a month earlier, the US Fed, by way of Chair Powell and an update of its Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), signalled a prolonged tight monetary policy stance. While economists believe inflation has peaked in the US, any good news vis-à-vis rising prices are being overshadowed by grim forecasts of slowing economic growth. The rate sensitive US 2-year traded mostly sideways in a range between 4.2 and 4.4% (ending the month 11-basis points higher), while the yield on the US 10 year climbed by a greater 27-basis points. Aggregate positioning on the US yield curve ended flat, with the 10-year dragging most, while the belly and US longer end made positive contributions.
The European Central Bank (ECB) lifted borrowing costs by another 50-basis points but telegraphed that still higher rates will be needed to bring down inflation. ECB President Lagarde warned that “anybody who thinks that this is a pivot for the ECB is wrong” following the decision of a 50-basis point increase (as opposed to the previous string of 75-basis point increases). The entire German curve lifted, the longer end more so. The 10-year Bund and
2-year Schatz rose 64 and 63 basis points, respectively. Positioning in European sovereign debt registered negative returns on aggregate, with exposure to the German curve dragging most – especially the benchmark Bund. The longest end, as well as the strategy’s positioning in the Gilts and Italian debt market, however, delivered positive returns.
Aggregate exposure to sovereign debt in the Asia-Pacific region ended flat, with the benchmark Aussie 10-year and shorter end 3-year contributing and dragging most respectively there.
Positioning in Short Term Interest Rates (STIRS) delivered positive returns.
Most returns came from exposure to the Euribor. Positioning, however, in the Australian and Canadian 3-month rates pulled slightly on overall performance. Returns from positioning in the US dollar were positive. The US dollar weakened further in Q4, with the DXY Index ending the month 2.3% lower. The outlook for the greenback has remained bearish, with traders expecting a much less hawkish Fed in 2023 as inflation gradually relaxes. As, all things considered, it should – owing to amongst others the base effect; supply chain disruptions that have eased; lower shipping costs; high inventories – especially in semiconductors; as well as lower commodity prices.
Amongst the major currencies, the strategy’s positioning in the Japanese yen contributed most to overall PnL. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) decided and announced a review to its yield curve control policy, widening the trading band for the benchmark 10-year government bond yield from 25 to 50-basis points either side of its 0% target. Bonds sold off and the yen rallied following the announcement, with the Japanese currency ending 5.3% stronger against the US dollar at month end. The strategy’s positioning in the Canadian dollar also contributed positively. The Bank of Canada raised its benchmark rate by 50-basis points, but also signalled it may pause its monetary tightening – the first major central bank to do so with a high level of unambiguity. The loonie lost just over 1% against the greenback.
Among the minors, the best performance came from exposure to the Indian rupee. Most of the losses were booked during the first week, as the rupee slid to a one-month low against the US dollar due to heavy selling pressure in domestic equities and continued foreign capital outflows. Positioning in the Korean won was, on the contrary, the biggest drag amongst the minors. The won gained 4.6%, maintaining momentum from a month earlier. The won was on course to be the best Asian currency in Q4, this on bets that the US Fed will halt tightening in 2023, and the expectation that Korea will be included in the FTSE World Government
Bond Index as early as March 2023 – expected to attract as much as 90 trillion won ($68.6 billion) of foreign investments into the country.
Returns from Commodities recorded negative PnL for the strategy.
The energy-biased Bloomberg Commodity Index TR (BCOMTR) slumped 2.5% – making it only the third month in 2022 when commodities, on aggregate, registered losses. The CRB Equally Weighted index, meanwhile, fell 1.7%.
Increased worries about global growth, and, as such, lower demand for raw materials, weighed on commodity prices. The price of Brent briefly slipped below $80/barrel for the first time since January – stronger than expected economic prints in the US (esp. robust services data) fuelled a calculus that the US Fed is likely to stick to their hitherto aggressive tightening cycle, stifling economic growth and thus oil demand.
Exposure to the Energy subsector yielded the most negative PnL, especially positioning in US Natural Gas. Record imports from the US into Europe, and good stockpiles on the Continent have helped ease demand concerns. Milder weather also conserved reserves, and a still mild weather outlook for January 2023 further weighed on prices. The contract slipped 35.4% over the month.
Aggregate positioning in Base Metals also dragged on performance, with positioning in Iron Ore the main laggard. The contract gained 19.3% on China easing Covid restrictions and the country’s plan to reinvigorate its real estate sector.
Aggregate positioning in the Precious Metal subsector ended flat.
The Meat and Softs subsectors both dragged marginally on overall performance, while exposure to the Grains sector, however, delivered positive P&L. Most of the gains in Grains coming from Soybean Oil. The contract fell 15.2%, stemming from disappointment with reported U.S. biofuel policy targets, which would not expand the use of the oil as much as what was hoped.
Short Term Trend
The Short Term Trend delivered negative PnL. Positioning in highly liquid Sovereign Bonds dragged, with exposure to the longest end of the US curve responsible for most of the negative PnL. Positioning in Equity Indices ended flat.
The Long Volatility layer delivered negative PnL.
Exposure to Equity Indices was the biggest drag on overall performance for the strategy, as global markets tumbled. Long VIX exposure also registered negative returns. While the VIX jumped early in the month, implied volatility receded from December 12 onwards, ending the period at 21.6 points – roughly at the same level as one month earlier. Implied volatility in all other major markets followed a similar trajectory.
Realised volatility was muted and in line with historical averages. The S&P 500 featured 9 trading days (out of 21) where price changes were greater than ± 1%, of which only 1 was greater than ±2%.
Systematic Global Equities
The Systematic Global Equities program ended in positive territory. Positive returns were recorded in all regions, with European equities having contributed most. Across the entire book, the Consumer, Cyclical and Financial sectors fared best and worst respectively.
Facts & Documents
Fund Domicile: Ireland UCITS
Fund Type: UCITS SICAV
Base Currency: EUR
Depositary, Administrator, Transfert Agent: State Street Fund Services Ireland Limited, CACEIS Ireland Limited
Dealing: daily with two business days notice
Cut-off time: 11 A.M Irish Standard Time
Countries where the fund is registered:
Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Spain, Singapore, Switzerland, United Kingdom
The information related to the integration of sustainability risks and to the potential adverse sustainability impacts at the sub-fund level can be found in the prospectus of the Fund.
ISIN: IE00BSPL3L55 Ticker: Launch: 23 Dec 2014
ISIN: IE00BSPL3M62 Ticker: Launch: 8 Dec 2015
ISIN: IE00BSPL3K49 Ticker: Launch: 6 May 2016
ISIN: IE00BSPL3N79 Ticker: Launch: 3 Mar 2016
ISIN: IE00BSPL3Q01 Ticker: Launch: 3 May 2016
ISIN: IE00BSPL3T32 Ticker: Launch: 8 Dec 2015
ISIN: IE00BSPL4015 Ticker: Launch: 10 Dec 2014
ISIN: IE00BSZLQK58 Ticker: Launch: 21 Jan 2015
ISIN: IE00BSPL4122 Ticker: Launch: 17 Dec 2014
ISIN: IE00BVVHQZ31 Ticker: Launch: 2 Apr 2015
ISIN: IE00BF346H28 Ticker: Launch: 28 Jul 2017